Staff
Duncan Ray
BSc
BSc
Project Leader
Developing dynamically coupled models to simulate forest management and ecosystem goods and services provision under climate change adaptation trajectories. Working closely with Forest Districts and Forest Policy discussing simulation results. Developing new decision support system functionality.
Duncan joined Forest Research in 1982 to study the effects of ground preparation on forest soil water regimes. He helped develop Ecological Site Classification (ESC) producing the first ESC Decision Support System in 2001. More recently he used ESC to assess the abiotic and biotic impacts of climate change on forests in Britain, and to assess the effect on forest ecosystem service delivery.
IUFRO Group 4.3.3
Work Package 8 in EU 7th Framework project Trees4Future
NRS
Northern Research Station
Bush Estate
Roslin
Scotland
B4EST will offer new understanding about how adaptive forest breeding can be used to increase forest survival, health, resilience and productivity under climate change and natural disturbances, while maintaining genetic diversity and key ecological functions.
The research aims to increase our understanding of how woodlands and wooded landscapes provide a diverse range of ecosystem services (ES), and to help policymakers, forest managers and planners understand and assess how the specific placement and management of woodlands affects ES delivery at various scales.
Description of the research and knowledge development on the effects of climate change on forests and forestry in England
COST Action FP0804 - defining a European-wide framework with core processes and information standards for decision-making in a sustainable multifunctional forest management environment
This page summarises research and outputs from the ‘Expected climate change and options for EU silviculture’ (ECHOES) project, funded by the EU-funded COST programme.
Description of the research and knowledge development on the effects of climate change on forests and forestry in Scotland
Decision support tool and Information system for managing Habitats and Rare Priority and Protected Species in British forests
The development of a Forest Habitat Network for the Scottish Borders
Principles and techniques for developing FHNs, includes models to assess and measure the ecological function FHNs as an aid to woodland planning and woodland management for biodiversity benefits
Best methods for restoring & expanding major native woodland types in upland Britain
Booklet describing the contribution of woodlands to promote sustainable development within the regional Structure Plan. By Duncan Ray and Darren Moseley.
Abstract Ecosystem services (ES) are the benefits that people receive from ecosystems. Understanding the impact of forest management on their supply can inform policy and practice for meeting societal demand. The objectives of this paper are to identify and review the effect of management intensity on priority ES supply and identify synergies and trade-offs among ES […]
This paper explores how information about climate change and its impacts on the provision of forest products and services, influences forest planners’ decisions about forest management. It explains that research has found that when this information was presented to forest planners, it resulted in forest management actions being planned to occur at more appropriate […]
New decision-making tool helps ecosystem services to adapt to the potential impact of climate change on Scottish forests In a paper published in Environmental Research Letters Michal Petr and colleagues investigate the impacts of future climate change on forest ecosystem services in Scotland and describe a new approach to supporting adaptation decisions in forestry. To sustain forests […]
This study identified 288 medium or high drought risk forest sites in eastern Scotland, 125 of which include Sitka spruce as a major component. Sitka spruce is intolerant of drought and is known to have previously experienced drought damage such as tree mortality and stem cracking in eastern Scotland. Cases of direct drought damage, together […]
By Darren Moseley, Duncan Ray, Kevin Watts & Jonathan Humphrey. Contract report to Forestry Commission Scotland, Forestry Commission GB and Scottish Natural Heritage.
Report compiled for Forestry Commission Scotland by Duncan Ray with sections also drafted by Dave Wainhouse, Joan Webber and Barry Gardiner.
By Mark Broadmeadow et al. From Forest Research Annual Report and Accounts 2002-3. Related pages Climate change research
Ecological Site Classification (ESC) will help forest managers to select tree species, and to make related decisions based on an appreciation of the ecological potential of sites. The classification focuses on the key factors of site that influence tree growth, and that are important to the rest of the ecosystem. This site-orientated approach to tree […]
Studying abiotic factors that may predispose oak trees and woodlands to stress in the THAPBI funded project PuRpOsE (Protecting Oak Ecosystems) to understand threats to oak woodlands.
Reyer, C.P.O., Bathgate, S., Blennow, K., et al. – including Ray, D., (2017) Are forest disturbances amplifying or cancelling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests? Environmental Research Letters 12:34027. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
Beauchamp, K., Bathgate, S., Ray, D., and Nicol, B., (2016) Forest ecosystem service delivery under future climate scenarios and adaptation management options: a case study in central Scotland, Scottish Forestry, December 2016.
Ray, D., Sing, L. and Nicol, B., (2016) Agriculture & Forestry Report Card Paper 9: Forest Ecosystem Services and Climate Change
Ray, D. et al., (2016) Improved prediction of the climate driven outbreaks of Dendrolimus pini in Pinus sylvestris forests. Forestry DOI: 10.1093/forestry/cpw007
Sing, L., Ray, D., Watts, K., (2016) Ecosystem Services and Forest Management, Research Note FCRN020, Forestry Commission Research Division, Roslin, Midlothian.
Mitchell, R.J., Beaton, J.K., Bellamy, P.E., Broome, A., Chetcuti, J., Eaton, S., Ray D., et al. (2014) Ash dieback in the UK: A review of the ecological and conservation implications and potential management options. . Biological Conservation, 175, 95-109.
Ray, D., Bathgate, S., Moseley, D., Taylor, P., Nicoll, B., Pizzirani, S. et al. (2014) Comparing the provision of ecosystem services in plantation forests under alternative climate change adaptation management options in Wales. Regional Environmental Change, DOI 10.1007/s10113-014-0644-6.
Petr, M., Boerboom, L.G.J., van-der-Veen, A. and Ray, D. (2014) A spatial and temporal drought risk assessment of three major tree species in Britain using probabilistic climate change projections. Climatic Change, 124 (4), 791-803.
Petr, M., Boerboom, L.G.J., Ray, D. and van-der-Veen, A. (2014) An Uncertainty Assessment Framework for Forest Planning Adaptation to Climate Change. Forest Policy and Economics, 41 (c), 1-11.
Xenakis, G., Ray, D. and Mencuccini, M., (2011) Effects of climate and site characteristics on Scots pine growth. European Journal of Forest Research, DOI 10.1007/s10342-011-0516-2: 13pp.
Tene, A. Tobin, B., Dyckmans, J., Ray, D., Black, K., Niewenhuis, M. (2011) Assessment of tree response to drought: validation of a methodology to identify and test proxies for monitoring past environmental changes in trees. Tree Physiology, 31(3): 309-322.
Ray, D., Xenakis, G., Tene, A. and Black, K., 2010. Developing a site classification system to assess the impact of climate change on species selection in Ireland. Irish Forestry, 66(1&2): 101-122.
Ray, D., Xenakis, G., Tene, A. and Black, K., 2010. Developing a site classification system to assess the impact of climate change on species selection in Ireland. Irish Forestry, 66(1&2): 101-122.
Ray, D., Morison, J. and Broadmeadow, M., 2010. Climate change: impacts and adaptation in England’s woodlands. Forestry Commission Research Note (FCRN201). Forestry Commission Edinburgh.
